Last week was the second end-of-quarter deadline of the 2024 cycle, and so far many of the most vulnerable women incumbents have staved off serious Republican challengers. But that could change if they don’t post strong fundraising numbers next month.
Some recent developments:
- Sen. Jacky Rosen’s (NV) only official Republican challenger so far is Jim Marchant, an election denier who lost his bid for NV Secretary of State last year. US Army veteran Sam Brown is also considering a bid. He lost last year’s Senate primary and has also questioned the 2020 election results.
- Sen. Tammy Baldwin (WI) dodged her most serious potential challenger when Rep. Mike Gallagher announced earlier this month that he will not run for Senate. He was the national GOP’s top prospect in Wisconsin. Former Milwaukee Sheriff David Clark and US Rep. Tom Tiffany have also expressed interest.
- Rep. Yadira Caraveo (CO-8) won this seat last year with less than 50 percent of the vote, and only one point ahead of Republican Barbara Kirkmeyer (it was the fifth closest race in the country). There are no declared Republicans yet for 2024, but Kirkmeyer has expressed interest in running again.
- Rep. Kathy Manning’s (NC-6) seat was set to be eliminated by new maps until the Supreme Court’s surprisingly positive voting rights decisions. Now, her race is predicted to be one of the most competitive this cycle, although her only GOP challenger so far is US Army veteran Christian Castelli.
- Rep. Emilia Sykes’ (OH-13) Republican challenger from 2022, Madison Gesiotto Gilbert, is already looking for a rematch. Emilia beat her by a solid 5 points last year, but Cookstill has this race rated a tossup.
- Rep. Susan Wild (PA-7) might also face a rematch. Though she won this seat by 10 points in 2018, the margin has narrowed the last two cycles. In 2022, she beat Lehigh County Commissioner Lisa Scheller by only 2 points.
- Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Pérez’s (WA-3) victory last year was ninth on the list of top-10 closest races in the country. Her 2022 opponent, businessman Joe Kent, has already declared, and the seat’s former Republican representative, Jaime Herrera Beutler, has expressed interest.