Next year, California will be key to winning back the House of Representatives, and the races there will dominate Super Tuesday. The Cook Political Report is currently tracking 10 California US House races: three that Democrats need to hold and seven we need to flip.
But don’t sleep on Texas, where there is currently one competitive primary in a safe Democratic district, and there may be more competitive general election races as the cycle progresses.
So as we continue to preview the most important House races to watch next year, we want to make sure your attention is on the most competitive Super Tuesday (March 5) primaries—which will be only nine weeks away once the calendar rolls over.
Competitive Primary & General
- CA-22: State Sen. Melissa Hurtado is the only woman in a primary where the frontrunner is former state Rep. Rudy Salas. The winner will face Republican Rep. David Valadeo in this toss up district.
- CA-45: Garden Grove City Councilor Kim Nguyen is in a crowded primary, including with one other woman and a slew of men. But in this heavily SE-Asian, Lean R district, she is best positioned to win against incumbent Republican Rep. Michelle Steel.
- CA-47: Attorney Joanna Weiss is gaining ground in the primary since state Sen. Dave Min’s DUI arrest, but he is still favored, and this seat—which Rep. Katie Porter is vacating to run for US Senate—is Lean D at best in the general.
- CA-16: Palo Alto City Councilor Julie Lythcott-Haims is the only woman in this primary crowded with men. Retiring Democratic Rep. Anna Eshoo is retiring from this Safe D district.
- CA-30: State Rep. Laura Friedman is favored in this crowded primary that features other state lawmakers, so we can’t get complacent. The incumbent Rep. Adam Schiff, who is running for US Senate, has also not endorsed in this Safe D district.
- TX-32: State Rep. Julie Johnson is the only credible woman in a primary crowded with men, including a prominent Dallas city councilor. If she gets through the primary, Julie is a lock in this Solid D district being vacated by Rep. Colin Allred, who is running for Senate.