Updated June 26, 2024

General election analyses are organized by primary date. Click here for primary election analysis.

Track US Senate and other statewide results via our partner, Electing Women.

March 5

CA-3, Likely R, Flip: Jessica Morse, the former deputy secretary at the California Natural Resources Agency, won the Democratic primary to challenge incumbent Rep. Kevin Kiley in November. This is only an R+4 district, so we should see this rating move toward Democrats as the race develops.

CA-12, Solid D, Open: BART Director Lateefah Simon won the primary and is the favorite to retain this safe Democratic seat that Rep. Barbara Lee vacated to run for US Senate, so this Black woman-held seat will likely stay that way.

CA-16, Solid D, Open: Palo Alto City Council member Julie Lythcott-Haims fell short in the primary—where she was the only female candidate in a field of 11—for this safe Democratic seat vacated by Rep. Anna Eshoo, so we are likely to see a Democratic man win it in November.

CA-22, Solid D, Flip: Former state Assemblymember Rudy Salas will face Republican Rep. David Valadeo in this toss up district, despite a strong primary challenge from State Sen. Melissa Hurtado.

CA-29, Solid D, Open: State Assemblymember Luz Rivas won the primary for this safe Democratic seat being vacated by Rep. Tony Cardenas, meaning women are likely to pick this seat up in November.

CA-30, Solid D, Open: State Assemblymember Laura Friedman won the primary in this safe Democratic seat vacated by Rep. Adam Schiff, making this another pick up for women in California’s Congressional delegation.

CA-31, Solid D, Open: Former Rep. Gil Cisneros is the likely next occupant of this seat vacated by Rep. Grace Napolitano, after both qualified women, state Sen. Susan Rubio and Mary Ann Lutz, fell short in the primary.

CA-40, Likely R, Flip: Former president of the Orange County Firefighters Union Joe Kerr looks likely to win the primary and take on Rep. Young Kim, in a primary many observers thought would go to Tustin Unified School District Board Member Allyson Damikolas.

CA-45, Lean R, Flip: Garden Grove City Councilor Kim Nguyen-Penaloza and Derek Tran are in a close race to come in second in the primary, and then hopefully flip this district—currently held by Rep. Michelle Steele—in November.

CA-47, Lean D, Open: State Sen. Dave Min came out ahead of Joanna Weiss in this seat vacated by Rep. Katie Porter, making it another loss for women in California’s Congressional delegation.

TX-8, Solid R, Challenger: Laura Jones won the primary in this long-shot district to take on incumbent Republican Rep. Morgan Luttrell in November.

TX-15, Likely R, Challenger: Democrat Michelle Vallejo will again face Republican Rep. Monica De La Cruz, who defeated her in 2022. But Senate dynamics—Sen. Ted Cruz is facing his most formidable Democratic challenger in years in Rep. Colin Allred—could shake things up in this.

TX-18, Solid D, Challenge: Incumbent Rep. Sheila Jackson Lee, who re-entered this race after losing her bid for Houston mayor, will retain this seat after a hard race against Houston City Council member Amanda Edwards.

TX-32, Solid D, Open: State Rep. Julie Johnson won the primary for this seat being vacated by Rep. Colin Allred, who is running for US Senate. It’s a safe Democratic seat, meaning she’s likely going to Congress in November.

TX-38, Solid R, Challenger: Melissa McDonough won the primary to take on incumbent Republican Rep. Wesley Hunt in November, in another long-shot race for Democrats.

March 19

OH-9, Tossup, Incumbent: Marcy Kaptur is the longest-serving woman in Congress and the second longest-serving woman in congressional history—and we’d like to keep that record going. Her official Republican challenger will be Trump-backed state Rep. Derek Merrin.

OH-13, Tossup, Incumbent: Emilia Sykes held this district—vacated by Tim Ryan when he ran for US Senate—for Democrats last year 52.7 to 47.3 percent, though its current Cook rating is R+1. Her official Republican challenger is former Ohio state senator and businessman, Kevin Coughlin.

April 23

PA-01, Likely Republican, Challenger: Ashley Ehasz, a retired Army pilot who did tours of duty in Kuwait and Iraq, is the nominee in this suburban Philly district held by Republican Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick, who beat her by 9 points in 2022. During this presidential election year, in a district President Biden won by 5 percent, she has a better chance at flipping it. If she does, she would be the first female member of Congress to have graduated from the US Military Academy at West Point.

PA-07, Toss-Up, Incumbent: Rep. Susan Wild is again on the list of most at-risk Democratic members being targeted by both sides. She squeaked by with a 51 percent win in 2022, but this being a presidential year may make not make the race easier—the district only went to President Biden by 0.6 percentage points in 2020. Her opponent will be state Rep. Ryan Mackenzie.

PA-10, Lean Republican, Challenger: Former local news anchor Janelle Stelson won the primary to face incumbent Republican Rep. Scott Perry in this Harrisburg-centered district Donald Trump won by 4 percent in 2020.

PA-12, Solid D, Incumbent: Freshman Democratic Rep. Summer Lee survived a primary challenge stemming from her early criticisms of Israel’s war conduct. She won 61 percent of the vote in this safe Democratic district that is not likely to be competitive in the fall.

May 14

MD-03, Safe D, Open: State Sen. Sarah Elfreth won this primary, with 35 percent of the vote, to fill the open seat of retiring Democratic Rep. John Sarbanes. She and Harry Dunn, the U.S. Capitol Police officer known for defending it during the January 6 Capitol attack, were the frontrunners in a crowded field of 22 candidates. She will face attorney Robert J. Steinberger in the general election.

MD-06, Likely D, Open: Former Deputy Administrator of the National Telecommunications and Information Administration April McClain-Delaney won this primary to replace retiring Rep. David Trone, who unsuccessfully ran for US Senate. This is the only competitive seat in Maryland’s House delegation. Partisan registrations in the district, which makes up most of western Maryland, are evenly split between Republicans and Democrats, but it has reliably voted for Democrats in presidential years. Anne will face former Del. Neil Parrott in the general election.

May 21

OR-03, Safe D, Open: State Rep. Maxine Dexter won this primary and is a shoo-in to replace retiring Democratic Rep. Earl Blumenauer. Multnomah County Commissioner Susheela Jayapal—who is the sister of US Rep. Pramila Jayapal—was the runner up.

OR-04, Likely D, Incumbent: Freshman Rep. Val Hoyle is the favorite to maintain Democratic control of this seat, though that could change now that her opponent is determined. Retired US Air Force colonel Monique DeSpain won the primary. She has styled herself as a moderate conservative and is expected to hit Val on drug legalization and homelessness, two perennial topics of contention in the Pacific Northwest.

OR-05, Toss-Up, Challenger: Oregon State Rep. Janelle Bynum is the nominee for this seat that went red by only 2 points in 2022—but went to President Biden by 10 points in 2020. She’s hoping to take out freshman Republican Rep. Lori Chavez-DeRemer. If elected, Janelle would be the first Black person to serve Oregon in Congress.

OR-06, Lean D, Incumbent: Freshman Rep. Andrea Salinas will again face logistics consultant Mike Erickson, who was the Republican nominee for this district in 2022. Andrea won with 50 percent of the vote, helped by a right-wing spoiler candidate, meaning that although she’s the favorite now, this race is likely to be a nail-biter.

June 4

IA-01, Likely R, Challenger: Christina Bohannan is a former state representative who was the nominee for this district in 2022, when she lost narrowly to Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks. She is again the nominee this time around, setting up a rematch.

MT-01, Likely R, Challenger: Monica Tranel was the nominee for this district in 2022 but came up short by only 3 points, the closest a Democrat has ever come to winning a Congressional seat in Montana. She is also again nominee this year, setting up another rematch with sitting Republican Rep. Ryan Zinke.

NJ-7, Toss-Up, Challenger: Former executive director of the New Jersey Working Families Party Sue Altman is the nominee to challenge freshman incumbent Republican Rep. Thomas Kean Jr., who narrowly flipped this seat in 2022 51 to 48 percent.

June 11

NV-1, Lean D, Incumbent: Challenging incumbent Democratic Rep. Dina Titus will again be retired U.S. Army colonel Mark Robertson, who lost to her by 5 points in 2022.

NV-3, Lean D, Incumbent: Incumbent Democratic Rep. Susie Lee will face Drew Johnson, a marketing consultant who has won the endorsement of the current governor.

June 18

VA-02, Lean R, Challenger: Missy Cotter Smasal, a US Navy veteran, won the primary and will now have a chance to win back this coastal district formerly held by Rep. Elaine Luria, and now held by Republican Rep. Jen Kiggans. This is the most competitive seat in the Virginia delegation.

VA-7 & VA-10, Lean D, Open: Unfortunately, women did not fare well in Virginia’s other competitive primaries, meaning this year we will officially see all of the seats women flipped in 2018 turned over either to Democratic men or Republicans. Former deputy legal advisor to the U.S. National Security Council Yevgeny Vindman won the VA-7 primary to replace Rep. Abigail Spanberger, even though three viable women—Prince William County Supervisor Margaret Franklin, former state Delegate Elizabeth Guzmán, and current Delegate Briana Sewell—competed. In VA-10, Virginia state Sen. Suhas Subramanyam—who was endorsed by resigning Rep. Jennifer Wexton—beat both former Rep. Eileen Filler-Corn and current state Sen. Jennifer Boysko.

June 25

CO-8, Toss-Up, Incumbent: Yadira won this seat in 2022 by less than a point, 48.4 to 47.7 percent. Her general election opponent will be Colorado state Rep. Gabe Evans, a veteran and former police officer who has touted his MAGA cred. He has been endorsed by Trump.

NY-1, Likely R, Challenger: Nancy Goroff, a chemistry professor at Stony Brook University, lost this primary to John Avlon, a former television personality for CNN and co-founder of the centrist group No Labels. He will face incumbent Republican Rep. Nick LaLota, who won 55 percent of the vote in 2022, though President Biden won the district in 2020.

NY-4, Toss-Up, Challenger: Laura Gillen is the official Democratic nominee in this D+5 district held by freshman Rep. Anthony D’Esposito. Laura is a former Hempstead town supervisor who ran and came within three points of beating him last cycle. Unfortunately, women did not fare well in New York’s Democratic primaries, meaning she will be the only Democratic woman challenging a competitive, Republican-held New York seat.

NY-22, Toss-Up, Challenger: DeWitt town board member and US Air Force veteran Sarah Klee Hood lost this primary to John Mannion, a state senator from New York’s 50th district. He will face freshman incumbent Republican Rep. Brandon Williams in the fall.