In just 54 days, voters will cast the final ballots in the 2020 election, and we’ll be on the verge of several hours (or days) of anxiously waiting to see if Joe Biden and Kamala Harris will be sworn in next January.
But we have to keep our eyes on the House and Senate too. If Biden and Harris win, they will need Democrats leading Congress to pass their agenda. And if the nightmare Trump presidency continues, we’ll need Democrats to stand between us and full autocracy. Yes, those are the stakes.
We just updated our 2020 Top 10 Most Flippable slate to reflect the latest tossup ratings from Cook and other election analysts, including our own insight from 2016 and 2018.
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At the top of the list is, of course, Kamala Harris. While the Biden-Harris ticket is polling above Trump nationally, the race is tightening in key swing states like Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania.
The three closest Senate races featuring Democratic women right now are in Iowa, where Theresa Greenfield has a slim 3-point lead in recent polls; Maine, where Sara Gideon is running 5 points ahead of Susan Collins; and Kansas, where Barbara Bollier is down only 2 points. Those are all within the margin of error though, and we need to win at least two tossup races to win the Senate.
And while Democrats are expected to comfortably hold the House, we need to run up the margin in flippable races (Christy Smith, Jill Schupp, Kara Eastman, Jackie Gordon, Wendy Davis, Candace Valenzuela) to show that the American people dramatically reject Trump’s politics of fear. We are also committed to making additional progress in 2020 to increase the number of women — and particularly women of color — in Congress.